⚽ Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich Prediction & Picks for Tuesday's Champions League Match

Real Madrid will battle to contain red-hot Bayern Munich in Tuesday's Champions League clash between European giants.
Vinicius Junior of Real Madrid CF, seen here during a game, is featured in our Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich prediction.
Pictured: Vinicius Junior of Real Madrid CF, seen here during a game, is featured in our Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich prediction. Photo by Cesar Cebolla / Pressinphoto / Sipa USA via Reuters Connect.
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The Champions League is back with a matchup fit for a final, as Real Madrid host Bayern Munich at the Santiago Bernabeu on Tuesday. I'm backing a high-scoring affair in my Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich prediction.

Real Madrid are a +200 betting underdog against a Bayern Munich side favored to win at +120. Our Champions League best bets also feature a Bayern Munich player tipped to have a busy night in the Spanish capital after the action gets started at 3 p.m. ET (streaming on Paramount+).


⚽ Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich predictions

See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Champions League odds.

Predictions Best odds Bet size Confidence 
Real Madrid-Bayern Draw +300 via bet365 0.5 units -> 1.5 units ⭐⭐⭐
Over 2.5 goals -220 via Caesars 2.2 units -> 1 unit ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Michael Olise 1+ shots on target +200 via bet365 0.5 units -> 1 unit ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Vinicius anytime goal scorer +175 via bet365 0.25 units -> 0.44 units ⭐⭐⭐

Total wagered: 3.45 units | Max profit: 3.94 units

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💰 Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich best bet

Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.

Over 2.5 goals (-220)

The most played fixture in the history of European club competitions should be packed with action as Real Madrid and Bayern Munich get set to lock horns for the 29th time. 

Real Madrid are rare underdogs at home against a Bayern side that is arguably one of the top teams in the world right now. But we're backing this contest to be similar to the previous meetings between the European giants. The last seven games have exceeded 2.5 total goals, with both teams finding the back of the net.

Score prediction: Real Madrid 2, Bayern Munich 2


🔥 Best Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich prop bet

Michael Olise 1+ shots on target (+200)

Hardly anyone has been able to contain Bayern Munich attacker Michael Olise. We expect the same to be true in Spain, where Olise could have more opportunities as striker Harry Kane deals with an injury.

While the Kane hasn't been officially ruled out after picking up a knock while on international duty with England, Olise could see an increase in chances either way if the striker isn't fully fit.

Olise is averaging more than one shot on target in his last 10 Champions League games, including four shots on target against Atalanta in the round of 16 that resulted in two goals.

Real Madrid's recent struggles could also inspire Olise to take more risks against a defense still reeling from a surprise 2-1 defeat against Mallorca last weekend.


🙌 Best Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich goal-scorer prediction

Vinicius Junior, Real Madrid, anytime goal-scorer (+175) 

After strong performances against Manchester City in the round of 16, we're backing Real Madrid winger Vinicius Junior to score against Bayern Munich in the first leg of the Champions League quarterfinals.

Kylian Mbappe is the focal point in Madrid's attack, scoring 13 goals in nine Champions League matches. But there will be opportunities and space for Vinicius to contribute in the final third.

Vinicius registered an assist in the first leg against City before scoring a pair of goals to help eliminate the Premier League club with a dominant 5-1 aggregate win. Vinicius has four goals and an assist in his last four Champions League appearances.

With Mbappe set to command a lot of attention from Bayern defenders, Vinicius' movement off the ball could create plenty of issues and generate chances for the hosts.

⚽️ More Champions League picks

I back Colombian forward Luis Suarez to score with my Sporting CP vs. Arsenal Prediction.


🚀 Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich same-game parlay

The bets above should complement each other nicely, but we're going to leave out the moneyline draw and focus on the goals that this game should produce. With the goal total expected to go over, attacking bets on Olise and Vinicius should benefit this single-game parlay. 

💵 Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich SGP picks

  • Over 2.5 goals (-220)
  • Michael Olise Over 1.5 shots on target (+200)
  • Vinicius Junior anytime goal-scorer (+175)

Best odds: +800 via bet365 (0.2u -> 1.6u)


⚖️ How I'm handicapping Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich

There's value in picking Bayern to win the first leg away from home against a Real Madrid side coming off a disappointing result. But such a bet will be difficult to pull off without Kane being fully fit.

Expect the odds to shift back toward Madrid if the English striker isn't available, or has a reduced role in coach Vincent Kompany's squad.

Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich key stats

Real Madrid Bayern Munich
Goals for 29 32
Goals against 14 10

🆚 Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich projected lineups

Here are Tuesday's projected lineups for Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich; lineups subject to change:

Real Madrid Bayern Munich
Lunin Neuer
Alexander-Arnold Stanisic
Rudiger Upamecano
Huijsen Tah
Carreras Laimer
Valverde Kimmich
Tchouameni Goretzka
Pitarch Olise
Guler Gnabry
Mbappe Diaz
Vinicius Jackson

📈 Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich betting trends

Real Madrid Statistic Bayern Munich
9-0-3 Season record 9-0-1
13-4-11 H2H record 11-4-13
W-W-W-W-L Last 5 games (all comps) W-D-W-W-W
Lost 2-1 vs. Mallorca Previous result Won 3-2 vs. Freiburg
Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last nine meetings vs. Bayern Munich Key stat Bayern have made more quarterfinal appearances (24) than any team

Bayern Munich stumbled a bit over the weekend before recovering to maintain their place atop the Bundesliga table. Bayern were down 2-0 late in Saturday's contest before exploding for three late goals, including two goals deep in stoppage time. It was an uncharacteristic performance by one of the Champions League favorites.

While Bayern were able to bounce back from their temporary dip in form, it was a different story for Real Madrid. Madrid's bid to stay within touching distance of Barcelona in the Spanish table took a hit after an uninspired performance in Saturday's 2-1 loss at Mallorca.

Bayern Munich should get a boost in odds if Kane is deemed fit to play, while Madrid are dealing with a series of long-term injuries to players who weren't expected to be available for Tuesday's tilt.


🌤️ Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich weather

Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich looks like it will feature some rain, with the possibility of precipitation sitting around 25% at kick-off. The slick playing surface should make for a fast-paced evening at the Bernabeu in Madrid. The temperature should hover around 60 during the match.


📺 How to watch Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich

  • Date: Tuesday, April 7
  • Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Santiago Bernabeu (Madrid, Spain)
  • TV: Paramount+

❓ Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich FAQ

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich are a +120 betting favorite against Bayern Munich on Tuesday.

What is the best Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich bet?

The best bets for Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich include Michael Olise Over 1.5 shots (+200) and Vinicius Junior to score (+175).

Where to watch Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich in the US and Canada?

You can watch Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich on Paramount+ in the United States, or stream the game on DAZN in Canada.