🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Daily Best Bets & Player Totals (April 5)
📡 SBR Edge: Achiuwa to Cash His Over for Sixth Time in Seven Games
My NBA player props today feature Precious Achiuwa Over 12.5 points (-135), as he has become one of the biggest offensive threats on the shorthanded Kings. Next, I play Brandon Miller Over 19.5 points (-112). He's becoming the offensive leader on the Hornets as they gear up for the NBA Play-In Tournament. I wrap up my top NBA picks with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 points (-101), as he will likely sit the fourth quarter today as a 24-point betting favorite.
π Best NBA player props today: April 5
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Achiuwa Over 12.5 points | -135 via BetMGM | 1.35u -> 1u | Has gone Over in 5 of last 6 games |
| Brandon Miller Over 19.5 points | -112 via DraftKings | 1.12u -> 1u | Has led Hornets in scoring in 3 of last 5 games |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 points | -101 via DraftKings | 1.01u -> 1u | Has gone Under in 4 of OKC's last 5 20-point wins |
Total wagered: 3.48 units | Max profit: 3 units
π° Best NBA player prop bet today
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Precious Achiuwa Over 12.5 points (-135) vs. Clippers
Achiuwa has taken on a much bigger role in the Kings' offense recently. He has attempted an average of 13.2 shots over his last six games, scoring 14 or more points five times in that span.
Over a larger sample, he is averaging 16.5 points over his last 15 games, including a 25-point outing against the Clippers in Inglewood on March 14. This bet is -135 at BetMGM, but I would play it up to -160 on the best sports betting sites.
Precious Achiuwa prop trends
Hereβs a look at how Precious Achiuwa has performed recently, as well as against the Clippers:
| Bet | Best odds | Last 5 games | Last 5 vs. Clippers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 points | -135 via BetMGM | 4-1 β | 1-4 β |
| Over 8.5 rebounds | -104 via FanDuel | 2-3 β | 1-4 β |
| Over 21.5 points + rebounds | -105 via BetMGM | 3-2 β | 1-4 β |
I wouldnβt worry about Achiuwaβs past poor performances against the Clippers, as he didnβt play nearly as significant a role on previous rosters as he will today.
π₯ More NBA player prop picks
The Hornets are a -3000 betting favorite to qualify in the NBA Play-In Tournament odds.
Brandon Miller Over 19.5 points (-112) at Timberwolves
The Hornets are a young team getting ready for their first NBA Play-In Tournament since 2022, and it looks like coach Charles Lee is trusting Miller to lead the offense. Miller has led the Hornets in scoring in three of his last five games, scoring a median of 22 points per game in that span.
If he puts up 15 or more shots today, it's very likely that he cashes this bet for the seventh time in 10 games. DraftKings lists his Over at -112, but this bet is good up to -130 on the best NBA betting sites.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 points (-101) vs. Jazz
The Thunder are a 24-point betting favorite over the Jazz today. With such a large spread, it's unlikely that Gilgeous-Alexander plays his full allotment of minutes, as he'll probably sit the fourth quarter if the Thunder are covering at the end of the third.
He has gone under this line in four of the Thunder's last five wins by 20 or more points, cashing this bet in two straight blowout victories. Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 points is -101 at DraftKings, but I would play it up to -115 on the best sports betting apps.
🏀 More NBA player props today
LeBron James and Cooper Flagg headline my Lakers vs. Mavericks player props.
π Best NBA parlay picks today
The Thunder likely routing the Jazz is the main driver behind my Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 points bet. Bet365, though, is pricing Thunder -24 as if it does not correlate with Gilgeous-Alexander scoring fewer than 30 points, so there's decent value on this +300 parlay - FanDuel, by contrast, offers the same parlay at just +188.
(Note: I haven't bet this parlay yet, as I'm waiting for +305 odds or greater.)
💵 Best NBA parlay bet today
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 points
- Thunder -24
Best odds: +300 via bet365
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 90-100-3 | -12.67 units β | -5.6% β |
| Player props | 84-81-3 | -14.54 units β | -6.8% β |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units β | 87% β |
| Parlays | 5-19 | +0.37 units β | 4.7% β |
π‘ How I'm betting NBA player props today
Today's slate gets 3.48 units in total action - roughly what I'd put on three standard player props.
I like the direction on all of these plays, but none of them are priced far enough from my own lines to justify a heavier stake. A stronger edge would push me toward 2.5 units on a single bet, or as high as 5 units in an exceptional spot that might come around once a year.
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
